Revised Analysis of Covid-19 of USA and UK


Table showing with Covid-19 confirmed cases  with deaths in USA and UK as on July 8, 2020


Confirmed

Deaths
USA

2923432

129963
UK

286353

44391

Total
3209785

174354
Source: WHO

Let P1 and P2 be the proportion of deaths to confirmed cases of Covid-19.
We set Null Hypothesis H0: P1 = P2                                                                                                                                                                             Then the Alternative Hypothesis is H1:: P1 # P2      
We have, p = (n1p1+n2p2)/(n1+n2) and S.E. of (p1-p2) = √(pq)(1/n1+1/n2)
                                                Z = |p1-p2|/S.E. of (p1-p2)  
                                    n1 =
n1=
2923432
 p1 =
0.044456
n2 =
286353
p2 =
0.155022

a1=
129963


a2=
44391


1/n1=
3.42064E-07

p=
0.054
q =
0.946


1/n2=
3.49219E-06
|p1-p2|=
0.11056632





1/n1+1/n2=
3.83426E-06
p*q =
0.05136892
(1/n1+1/n2) =


3.83426E-06





















          =
0.000444



=



S.E. of (p1-p2) =

0.000444


































|z|=
249.13
          =




|z| = 2.58 at 1% level of significance.  We reject the Null Hypothesis H0 as  obs|z| = 249.13 and conclude that proportion of deaths due to Covid-19 is significantly higher in U.K. than in USA.                                                                                                                                                        


Confirmed and Deaths in Worldwide and USA by COVID 19 as on May 26, 2020.



Confirmed

Deaths
World

5509398

347206
USA

1675920

99004

Total
7185318

446210

Source:- www.live population.com

               John Hopkins/NBC                                                                                          Let P1 and P2 be the proportions of populations died to confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the world and USA.

We[i] set the Null Hypothesis H0:P1=P2

Alternative Hypothesis H1:P1 # P2

We have p = (n1p1+n2p2)/(n1+n2) and SE of p1-p2 )=  sqrt (pq)(1/n1+1/n2)

Z = (p1-p2)/SE of P1-P2)

Here
n1=
5509398
 p1 =
0.063021
n2 =
1675920
p2 =
0.059074

a1=
347206


a2=
99004





p=
0.0621
q =
0.72




p1-p2=
0.003946








p*q =
0.044712
(1/n1+1/n2) =


7.78195E-00707





















          =
0.000187



=



S.E. of (p1-p2) =

0.000187




































          =
21.16





Z = 21.6>2.58 at 1% level of significance.  Hence, we reject the Null Hypothesis H0 and conclude that the proportion of deaths to confirmed cases of COVID-19 is significantly higher in USA than Worldwide.

.











[i]

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