Revised Analysis of Covid-19 of USA and UK


Table showing with Covid-19 confirmed cases  with deaths in USA and UK as on July 8, 2020


Confirmed

Deaths
USA

2923432

129963
UK

286353

44391

Total
3209785

174354
Source: WHO

Let P1 and P2 be the proportion of deaths to confirmed cases of Covid-19.
We set Null Hypothesis H0: P1 = P2                                                                                                                                                                             Then the Alternative Hypothesis is H1:: P1 # P2      
We have, p = (n1p1+n2p2)/(n1+n2) and S.E. of (p1-p2) = (pq)(1/n1+1/n2)
                                                Z = |p1-p2|/S.E. of (p1-p2)  
                                    n1 =
n1=
2923432
 p1 =
0.044456
n2 =
286353
p2 =
0.155022

a1=
129963


a2=
44391


1/n1=
3.42064E-07

p=
0.054
q =
0.946


1/n2=
3.49219E-06
|p1-p2|=
0.11056632





1/n1+1/n2=
3.83426E-06
p*q =
0.05136892
(1/n1+1/n2) =


3.83426E-06





















          =
0.000444



=



S.E. of (p1-p2) =

0.000444


































|z|=
249.13
          =




|z| = 2.58 at 1% level of significance.  We reject the Null Hypothesis H0 as  obs|z| = 249.13 and conclude that proportion of deaths due to Covid-19 is significantly higher in U.K. than in USA.                                                                                                                                                        

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